First and foremost, Oregon is a closed primary, which means voters have to be registered as Democrats to vote for Bernie or Hillary. Even if Bernie may have more support across the state, if his supporters aren't registered as Democrats, they can't vote for him. It is important to also recognize that Hillary tends to do better in closed primaries.
All of a sudden it doesn't seem so simple. Large crowds but a closed primary.
Even still, there are lots of factors that can sway poll results, and many pollsters and political scientist have talked about this in the past weeks. Approximately 65,000 people have changed their registration to Democrat, and it is highly likely that the majority of these people are Bernie voters.
One of the other crucial points for a Bernie win is based on the amount of millennials that come out and vote. It is well known that Bernie has a huge support base amongst millennials and the younger generation in general (like myself). The important thing is, if they come out and vote, they could turn the tide.
Even though Oregon at one point was viewed as a clear win, there is still a lot at stake here. 73 delegates are up for grabs, more than the 61 in the red state of Kentucky which is voting on the same day.
The fact that it's a closed primary is something that Hillary can smile about, knowing that voters are being suppressed and unable to vote has always been a key winning point for Hillary.
Still, Oregon votes on May 17th, it is essential that every Bernie supporter who can vote gets out there and gets Bernie the essential win that he needs in Oregon. And hey, maybe he'll do better than planned in Kentucky, so let's try and pull off an upset there too.
GO BERNIE!!!
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